Weber State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
296  Jamie Stokes JR 20:36
311  Ellie Child SO 20:38
399  Hailey Ricks SO 20:47
881  Taylor Cox FR 21:25
910  Paige Dilmore FR 21:27
977  Sarah Mathewson FR 21:32
1,086  Amanda Ward JR 21:38
1,718  Kimberly Holiday FR 22:16
2,325  Brittney Thornock SO 22:55
National Rank #84 of 341
Mountain Region Rank #8 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 7.2%
Top 10 in Regional 91.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Jamie Stokes Ellie Child Hailey Ricks Taylor Cox Paige Dilmore Sarah Mathewson Amanda Ward Kimberly Holiday Brittney Thornock
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 1075 21:07 20:52 20:41 21:20 21:28 22:08 21:42
Color Country Invitational 10/10 21:31 22:54
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 936 20:13 20:33 20:50 21:22 21:19 21:43 22:59
Big Sky Conference Championships 11/01 970 20:34 20:34 20:42 21:42 21:16 21:18 21:33 22:15
Mountain Region Championships 11/14 1038 20:43 20:38 21:00 21:19 22:06 22:01 21:24





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 28.3 668 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 8.0 253 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.1 11.5 20.1 26.3 17.4 9.4 3.9 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jamie Stokes 4.9% 153.4
Ellie Child 4.3% 161.5
Hailey Ricks 0.8% 165.0
Taylor Cox 0.1% 232.0
Paige Dilmore 0.1% 228.0
Sarah Mathewson 0.1% 226.0
Amanda Ward 0.1% 245.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jamie Stokes 29.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.3 3.2 3.4 3.2 3.8
Ellie Child 30.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.3
Hailey Ricks 39.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.4
Taylor Cox 76.2
Paige Dilmore 78.3 0.0
Sarah Mathewson 83.6
Amanda Ward 90.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 2
3 0.3% 38.5% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3
4 1.8% 1.8 4
5 5.1% 5.1 5
6 11.5% 11.5 6
7 20.1% 20.1 7
8 26.3% 26.3 8
9 17.4% 17.4 9
10 9.4% 9.4 10
11 3.9% 3.9 11
12 2.2% 2.2 12
13 1.1% 1.1 13
14 0.6% 0.6 14
15 0.3% 0.3 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0 0.1




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Harvard 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Florida 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0